Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Thompson 52.9% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Froese 82.9%
Defensive zone
Froese 82.5%
Neutral zone
Froese 79.8%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 81.8%
81.8%
18.2%
Froese
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Froese
Thompson
Last 9: Froese 2-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Froese
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Froese
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Froese
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
54.1% (5,812)
-4.8%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
54.8% (135)
-29.8%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
47.9% (1,381)
-4.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +29.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Froese is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (849).
Froese shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Froese
Thompson
Home
50.0% (582)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
46.1% (657)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Froese
Thompson
P1
45.5%
53.2%
P2
47.5%
52.9%
P3
50.8%
52.8%
OT
80.0%
47.9%
Final 5 min
48.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2018 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |