Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +12.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Froese wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Thompson 55.6% (-12.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Froese 76.1%
Defensive zone
Froese 80.2%
Neutral zone
Froese 78.0%
Result
Byron Froese favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Froese
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Froese
Thompson
Last 9: Froese 2-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Froese
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Froese
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Froese
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
57.7% (482)
-10.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
100.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
51.9% (154)
-23.1%
On power play, Thompson has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Froese is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Froese shoots right. Thompson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Froese
Thompson
Home
47.8% (159)
59.0% (327)
Away
41.5% (193)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Froese
Thompson
P1
41.2%
54.2%
P2
42.9%
61.3%
P3
49.5%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2018 | 3 | 11:41 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 3 | 06:09 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 4, 2018 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 3 | 11:02 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 11:06 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:25 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 05:23 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 02:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |