Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Froese wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Bonino 53.9% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 66.2%
Defensive zone
Bonino 87.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 72.2%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 69.8%
30.2%
69.8%
Froese
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Froese
Bonino
Last 5: Froese 4-1 Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Froese
2
0
Froese
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
2
1
Froese
Bonino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
56.4% (771)
-9.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
60.0% (30)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
43.8% (169)
-15.0%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Froese is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Froese shoots right. Bonino is 51.9% vs right-shot opponents (389).
Home / Away
Froese
Bonino
Home
47.8% (159)
56.5% (531)
Away
41.5% (193)
51.7% (439)
By Period
Froese
Bonino
P1
41.2%
56.7%
P2
42.9%
48.1%
P3
49.5%
58.0%
OT
100.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
46.3%
59.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Nov 22, 2017 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |