Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Froese wins 41.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Bergeron 56.8% (-13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 78.1%
Defensive zone
Froese 58.2%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 50.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Froese
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Froese
Bergeron
Last 8: Froese 4-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
4
Froese
Bergeron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
4
0
Froese
Bergeron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
58.4% (972)
-11.4%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.4% (221)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
56.0% (175)
-27.2%
On penalty kill, Bergeron has a +27.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Froese is 41.2% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Froese shoots right. Bergeron is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Froese
Bergeron
Home
47.8% (159)
59.0% (712)
Away
41.5% (193)
55.5% (656)
By Period
Froese
Bergeron
P1
41.2%
59.1%
P2
42.9%
60.2%
P3
49.5%
53.0%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 15:36 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 11:29 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 1 | 05:50 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |