Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Froese wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.5% vs Marleau 50.7% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 60.6%
Defensive zone
Froese 80.3%
Neutral zone
Froese 62.8%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Froese
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Froese
Marleau
Last 5: Froese 1-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
4
Froese
Marleau
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
1
0
Froese
Marleau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (461)
49.0% (437)
-0.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
70.6% (34)
-42.0%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
53.7% (54)
-5.4%
On power play, Marleau has a +42.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Froese is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (450).
Froese shoots right. Marleau is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (195).
Home / Away
Froese
Marleau
Home
48.1% (312)
55.1% (234)
Away
48.5% (330)
47.4% (291)
By Period
Froese
Marleau
P1
43.6%
56.3%
P2
48.4%
48.5%
P3
52.4%
46.5%
OT
75.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2016 | 2 | 09:42 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 9, 2016 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 2 | 12:45 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |