Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Froese wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Berglund 53.9% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Berglund 60.3%
Defensive zone
Froese 50.2%
Neutral zone
Froese 50.9%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Froese
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Froese
Berglund
Last 6: Froese 3-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Froese
3
0
Froese
Berglund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
3
Froese
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
55.2% (270)
-8.2%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
65.0% (20)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
45.8% (24)
-17.0%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Froese is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Froese shoots right. Berglund is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Froese
Berglund
Home
47.8% (159)
61.2% (139)
Away
41.5% (193)
50.3% (175)
By Period
Froese
Berglund
P1
41.2%
57.1%
P2
42.9%
60.2%
P3
49.5%
48.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.3%
61.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 10:21 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 05:22 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |