Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.1% vs Kuraly 50.3% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Froese leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Froese 50.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 77.7%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 71.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 67.3%
32.7%
67.3%
Froese
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Froese
Kuraly
Last 10: Froese 7-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Froese
2
0
Froese
Kuraly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
1
0
Froese
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
4
3
Froese
Kuraly
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (984)
51.5% (5,141)
-2.2%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
56.0% (100)
-31.0%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (243)
44.2% (1,086)
-0.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +31.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Froese is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (849).
Froese shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Froese
Kuraly
Home
50.0% (582)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
46.1% (657)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Froese
Kuraly
P1
45.5%
51.1%
P2
47.5%
49.9%
P3
50.8%
50.0%
OT
80.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
47.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Byron Froese |