Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Froese on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Froese wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 45.6% vs Kuraly 46.9% (-2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 60.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 71.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 57.7%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Froese
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Froese
Kuraly
Last 7: Froese 5-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Froese
2
0
Froese
Kuraly
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Froese
3
2
Froese
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (298)
46.0% (661)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
77.8% (9)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
28.8% (52)
47.1% (51)
-18.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Froese is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (233).
Froese shoots right. Kuraly is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Home / Away
Froese
Kuraly
Home
47.8% (159)
47.2% (335)
Away
41.5% (193)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Froese
Kuraly
P1
41.2%
47.1%
P2
42.9%
44.6%
P3
49.5%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.3%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
44.3%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2018 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 3, 2018 | 1 | 04:43 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 06:57 | Offensive | Byron Froese |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Jan 17, 2018 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Byron Froese |