Scouting Report
Byron Froese holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Froese wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Froese 48.5% vs Gionta 43.1% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gionta 75.7%
Defensive zone
Froese 51.5%
Neutral zone
Gionta 57.7%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Froese
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Froese
Gionta
Last 8: Froese 3-5 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
1
Froese
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Froese
2
1
Froese
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
3
Froese
Gionta
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Froese
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (461)
41.8% (612)
+6.8%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
61.5% (13)
-32.9%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
40.9% (66)
+7.4%
On power play, Gionta has a +32.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Froese is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Froese shoots right. Gionta is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Froese
Gionta
Home
48.1% (312)
41.3% (344)
Away
48.5% (330)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Froese
Gionta
P1
43.6%
39.8%
P2
48.4%
46.8%
P3
52.4%
39.5%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Froese
50.0%▼
52.5%
48.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 09:02 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Byron Froese |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 07:56 | Offensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 11:28 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 14:13 | Neutral | Byron Froese |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 04:21 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |