Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zubrus on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). O'Reilly wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zubrus shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Zubrus 44.5% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Zubrus leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Zubrus 54.4%
Defensive zone
Zubrus 63.7%
Neutral zone
Zubrus 55.5%
Result
Dainius Zubrus favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
O'Reilly
Zubrus
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
O'Reilly
Zubrus
Last 10: O'Reilly 3-7 Zubrus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Zubrus
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zubrus
2
4
O'Reilly
Zubrus
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zubrus
1
3
O'Reilly
Zubrus
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Zubrus
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
42.0% (317)
+2.5%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
56.4% (55)
-8.1%
On power play, Zubrus has a +8.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zubrus shoots left. O'Reilly is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (179).
O'Reilly shoots left. Zubrus is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Zubrus
Home
50.9% (112)
43.9% (237)
Away
40.4% (156)
42.6% (204)
By Period
O'Reilly
Zubrus
P1
56.5%
49.6%
P2
40.4%
42.7%
P3
36.3%
38.1%
OT
75.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
35.2%
36.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Zubrus
50.0%▲
46.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2012 | 3 | 03:40 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 08:42 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 1 | 13:20 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 1 | 04:10 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Feb 5, 2012 | 1 | 01:16 | Defensive | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Dainius Zubrus |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 15, 2011 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |