Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Staal 50.6% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 51.0%
Defensive zone
Staal 50.8%
Neutral zone
Staal 51.7%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
O'Reilly
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
O'Reilly
Staal
Last 10: O'Reilly 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
2
5
O'Reilly
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
1
O'Reilly
Staal
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
50.5% (10,347)
-4.0%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
53.5% (2,023)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
44.2% (781)
+5.8%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Staal
Home
50.6% (480)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
43.2% (465)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
O'Reilly
Staal
P1
47.1%
50.0%
P2
46.7%
51.1%
P3
46.8%
50.4%
OT
54.5%
55.2%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 00:05 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |