Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Staal 48.1% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 56.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 52.6%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
O'Reilly
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
O'Reilly
Staal
Last 6: O'Reilly 1-5 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
5
O'Reilly
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
47.4% (1,219)
-1.2%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
50.8% (356)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
47.5% (141)
+2.5%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. O'Reilly is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
O'Reilly shoots left. Staal is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,087).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Staal
Home
48.1% (243)
49.8% (880)
Away
44.9% (254)
46.2% (871)
By Period
O'Reilly
Staal
P1
43.2%
46.4%
P2
45.6%
46.1%
P3
50.9%
50.7%
OT
42.9%
53.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 08:23 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 17:08 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 3 | 15:04 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Nov 20, 2010 | 1 | 01:05 | Defensive | Eric Staal |