Scouting Report
Jake Dowell holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowell on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Dowell 48.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 63.8%
Defensive zone
Dowell 55.4%
Neutral zone
Dowell 52.2%
Result
Jake Dowell favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
O'Reilly
Dowell
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
O'Reilly
Dowell
Last 5: O'Reilly 0-5 Dowell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
0
1
O'Reilly
Dowell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowell
0
3
O'Reilly
Dowell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowell
0
1
O'Reilly
Dowell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Dowell
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
49.1% (759)
-2.6%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
38.5% (13)
+11.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.9% (81)
+3.1%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowell shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Dowell is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Dowell
Home
50.6% (480)
51.8% (413)
Away
43.2% (465)
45.8% (443)
By Period
O'Reilly
Dowell
P1
47.1%
50.4%
P2
46.7%
46.6%
P3
46.8%
49.7%
OT
54.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Dowell
38.0%▼
47.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 09:14 | Neutral | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 01:44 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Jake Dowell |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Jake Dowell |