Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Stoll shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Stoll 54.6% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 80.7%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 80.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 80.1%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
O'Reilly
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
O'Reilly
Stoll
Last 6: O'Reilly 1-5 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
1
3
O'Reilly
Stoll
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stoll
0
2
O'Reilly
Stoll
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
56.2% (853)
-11.7%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
53.3% (135)
-5.0%
On even strength, Stoll has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. O'Reilly is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (89).
O'Reilly shoots left. Stoll is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Stoll
Home
50.9% (112)
60.0% (620)
Away
40.4% (156)
49.7% (584)
By Period
O'Reilly
Stoll
P1
56.5%
55.4%
P2
40.4%
54.6%
P3
36.3%
54.6%
OT
75.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
35.2%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 18:10 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 15:53 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 01:58 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 04:58 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 01:32 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |