Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 73.0%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 60.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.8%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
O'Reilly
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
O'Reilly
Mitchell
Last 5: O'Reilly 2-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
O'Reilly
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
O'Reilly
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
51.8% (2,965)
-5.3%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
54.1% (196)
-3.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
44.1% (401)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Mitchell
Home
50.6% (480)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
43.2% (465)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
O'Reilly
Mitchell
P1
47.1%
52.0%
P2
46.7%
49.9%
P3
46.8%
50.9%
OT
54.5%
69.2%
Final 5 min
43.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | John Mitchell |