Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Mitchell 53.4% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 72.3%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 51.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.9%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
O'Reilly
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
O'Reilly
Mitchell
Last 5: O'Reilly 2-3 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
O'Reilly
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
O'Reilly
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
52.8% (125)
-6.6%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
25.0% (4)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
80.0% (20)
-30.0%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. O'Reilly is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
O'Reilly shoots left. Mitchell is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Mitchell
Home
48.1% (243)
58.5% (82)
Away
44.9% (254)
52.2% (67)
By Period
O'Reilly
Mitchell
P1
43.2%
59.3%
P2
45.6%
56.4%
P3
50.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
39.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2010 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 16, 2010 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | John Mitchell |