Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Toews 56.3% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 16-8 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 87.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 81.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 80.2%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
O'Reilly
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
16
(24 meetings)
8
16
O'Reilly
Toews
Last 10: O'Reilly 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
1
O'Reilly
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
7
O'Reilly
Toews
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
8
O'Reilly
Toews
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
55.6% (1,125)
-9.4%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
59.3% (312)
-11.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
57.4% (204)
-7.4%
On power play, Toews has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. O'Reilly is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
O'Reilly shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,194).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Toews
Home
48.1% (243)
59.8% (858)
Away
44.9% (254)
53.3% (795)
By Period
O'Reilly
Toews
P1
43.2%
58.7%
P2
45.6%
55.1%
P3
50.9%
56.5%
OT
42.9%
54.8%
Final 5 min
48.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Toews
52.0%▼
58.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 15:05 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 13, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 3 | 13:57 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 06:51 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 03:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 02:37 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:09 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 10:09 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 13, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 16:57 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 16:48 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 00:21 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 05:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 01:42 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |