Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 89.8%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 83.7%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 85.4%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 86.8%
13.2%
86.8%
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
Last 5: O'Reilly 4-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
52.9% (10,240)
-6.4%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
55.7% (2,827)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
51.2% (977)
-1.2%
On even strength, Draisaitl has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Draisaitl is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,946).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
Home
50.6% (480)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
43.2% (465)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
O'Reilly
Draisaitl
P1
47.1%
52.7%
P2
46.7%
53.6%
P3
46.8%
53.4%
OT
54.5%
57.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 17:35 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 13:38 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 03:59 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |