Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (44.8% vs 44.0%). Look for Adam on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). O'Reilly wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Adam shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Adam 45.7% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adam 57.7%
Defensive zone
Adam 57.4%
Neutral zone
Adam 53.4%
Result
Luke Adam favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
O'Reilly
Adam
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
O'Reilly
Adam
Last 5: O'Reilly 1-4 Adam
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Adam
1
4
O'Reilly
Adam
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Adam
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
43.3% (233)
+1.2%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
48.0% (25)
+0.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Adam shoots left. O'Reilly is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (179).
O'Reilly shoots left. Adam is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Adam
Home
50.9% (112)
47.6% (126)
Away
40.4% (156)
40.6% (133)
By Period
O'Reilly
Adam
P1
56.5%
47.8%
P2
40.4%
35.8%
P3
36.3%
47.7%
Final 5 min
35.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Adam
44.0%▬
43.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 08:04 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 18:55 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Luke Adam |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 13:54 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 1 | 11:57 | Neutral | Luke Adam |