Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Cullen 53.6% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Cullen leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 94.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 86.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 88.6%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 89.8%
89.8%
10.2%
O'Reilly
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
12
(16 meetings)
4
12
O'Reilly
Cullen
Last 10: O'Reilly 3-7 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
2
4
O'Reilly
Cullen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
5
O'Reilly
Cullen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
3
O'Reilly
Cullen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
54.8% (5,371)
-8.3%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
52.3% (421)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
48.0% (953)
+2.0%
On even strength, Cullen has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Cullen is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,432).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Cullen
Home
50.6% (480)
55.8% (3,288)
Away
43.2% (465)
51.6% (3,488)
By Period
O'Reilly
Cullen
P1
47.1%
54.7%
P2
46.7%
52.8%
P3
46.8%
53.3%
OT
54.5%
62.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 05:46 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 09:25 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 01:15 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2010 | 1 | 12:12 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 18:25 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |