Scouting Report
Matt Cullen holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Cullen on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Cullen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Cullen 53.0% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 81.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 77.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 77.0%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
O'Reilly
Cullen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
O'Reilly
Cullen
Last 7: O'Reilly 1-6 Cullen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
2
O'Reilly
Cullen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cullen
1
3
O'Reilly
Cullen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cullen
0
1
O'Reilly
Cullen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Cullen
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
56.0% (915)
-11.5%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
43.1% (116)
+5.2%
On even strength, Cullen has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cullen shoots left. O'Reilly is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (179).
O'Reilly shoots left. Cullen is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Cullen
Home
50.9% (112)
56.9% (559)
Away
40.4% (156)
49.9% (619)
By Period
O'Reilly
Cullen
P1
56.5%
56.6%
P2
40.4%
51.6%
P3
36.3%
50.5%
OT
75.0%
69.0%
Final 5 min
35.2%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Cullen
58.0%▲
53.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 16:04 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 11:01 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 10:49 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 17:36 | Offensive | Matt Cullen |
| Dec 31, 2011 | 1 | 04:05 | Defensive | Matt Cullen |