Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Stajan 49.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 84.0%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 50.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 62.1%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
O'Reilly
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
O'Reilly
Stajan
Last 7: O'Reilly 1-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
4
O'Reilly
Stajan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
O'Reilly
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
50.2% (4,944)
-3.7%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
43.2% (176)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.1% (864)
+3.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Stajan
Home
50.6% (480)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
43.2% (465)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
O'Reilly
Stajan
P1
47.1%
50.3%
P2
46.7%
48.5%
P3
46.8%
49.4%
OT
54.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 06:36 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |