Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 49.4% vs Stajan 50.1% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 77.3%
Defensive zone
Stajan 64.7%
Neutral zone
Stajan 54.2%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
O'Reilly
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
O'Reilly
Stajan
Last 6: O'Reilly 0-6 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
4
O'Reilly
Stajan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
2
O'Reilly
Stajan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (56)
50.9% (627)
-4.5%
Power Play
60.0% (10)
40.0% (15)
+20.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. O'Reilly is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (48).
O'Reilly shoots left. Stajan is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Stajan
Home
53.7% (41)
52.4% (401)
Away
40.0% (25)
47.7% (367)
By Period
O'Reilly
Stajan
P1
40.0%
56.3%
P2
60.0%
45.5%
P3
37.5%
48.9%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.5%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 2 | 11:04 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 15:08 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 21, 2016 | 1 | 05:21 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |