Scouting Report
Michal Handzus holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Handzus 51.4% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Handzus 54.5%
Defensive zone
Handzus 81.4%
Neutral zone
Handzus 67.2%
Result
Michal Handzus favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
O'Reilly
Handzus
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
O'Reilly
Handzus
Last 7: O'Reilly 5-2 Handzus
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
0
O'Reilly
Handzus
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Handzus
0
2
O'Reilly
Handzus
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
0
O'Reilly
Handzus
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Handzus
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
51.5% (2,438)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
58.0% (286)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
47.3% (471)
+2.7%
On power play, Handzus has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Handzus shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Handzus is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,162).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Handzus
Home
50.6% (480)
52.2% (1,736)
Away
43.2% (465)
50.6% (1,481)
By Period
O'Reilly
Handzus
P1
47.1%
52.5%
P2
46.7%
53.7%
P3
46.8%
48.4%
OT
54.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Handzus
50.0%▼
51.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 09:44 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 07:27 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |
| Dec 18, 2010 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 06:47 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 03:33 | Defensive | Michal Handzus |