Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 52.2% vs Granlund 48.8% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 55.7%
Defensive zone
Granlund 58.2%
Neutral zone
Granlund 53.8%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
O'Reilly
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
O'Reilly
Granlund
Last 6: O'Reilly 3-3 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
1
O'Reilly
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
0
1
O'Reilly
Granlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Granlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (98)
47.8% (959)
+5.3%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
54.7% (95)
+8.9%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (65).
O'Reilly shoots left. Granlund is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Granlund
Home
56.0% (84)
50.5% (548)
Away
48.0% (25)
46.7% (537)
By Period
O'Reilly
Granlund
P1
47.4%
51.1%
P2
60.6%
49.1%
P3
55.3%
46.6%
Final 5 min
46.4%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
54.1%
Granlund
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 3 | 15:56 | Defensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 15:34 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 01:52 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 5, 2016 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Mikael Granlund |