Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ribeiro on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Ribeiro 43.2% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ribeiro 76.8%
Defensive zone
Ribeiro 61.6%
Neutral zone
Ribeiro 66.9%
Result
Mike Ribeiro favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
Last 6: O'Reilly 1-5 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
1
2
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
2
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
42.9% (4,887)
+3.6%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
45.6% (930)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
33.3% (147)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Ribeiro is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,885).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
Home
50.6% (480)
44.1% (3,144)
Away
43.2% (465)
41.9% (2,837)
By Period
O'Reilly
Ribeiro
P1
47.1%
42.6%
P2
46.7%
44.3%
P3
46.8%
41.8%
OT
54.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2010 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 13:47 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 00:09 | Defensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |