Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 47.4%). Look for O'Reilly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). O'Reilly wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Jokinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Jokinen 47.6% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.5%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 54.0%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 57.8%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
O'Reilly
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
O'Reilly
Jokinen
Last 10: O'Reilly 7-3 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
1
O'Reilly
Jokinen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
6
0
O'Reilly
Jokinen
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
3
O'Reilly
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
46.4% (924)
-0.2%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
51.3% (197)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
48.4% (31)
+1.6%
On power play, Jokinen has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. O'Reilly is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
O'Reilly shoots left. Jokinen is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Jokinen
Home
48.1% (243)
47.1% (537)
Away
44.9% (254)
47.6% (628)
By Period
O'Reilly
Jokinen
P1
43.2%
45.3%
P2
45.6%
49.9%
P3
50.9%
46.5%
OT
42.9%
53.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2010 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 04:11 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 04:08 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 13:22 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 10:08 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Oct 19, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |