Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). O'Reilly wins 43.8% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Nash 45.2% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 54.4%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 65.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 63.0%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
O'Reilly
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
O'Reilly
Nash
Last 7: O'Reilly 5-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
O'Reilly
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
0
O'Reilly
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
0
O'Reilly
Nash
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
29.6% (27)
+14.9%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
28.6% (7)
+19.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. O'Reilly is 43.8% vs right-shot opponents (89).
O'Reilly shoots left. Nash is 32.1% vs left-shot opponents (28).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Nash
Home
50.9% (112)
27.6% (29)
Away
40.4% (156)
50.0% (6)
By Period
O'Reilly
Nash
P1
56.5%
15.4%
P2
40.4%
37.5%
P3
36.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
35.2%
22.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
31.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2011 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 2 | 05:28 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 12:03 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 21, 2011 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |