Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Carter 49.8% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 73.8%
Defensive zone
Carter 51.4%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 56.8%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
O'Reilly
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
O'Reilly
Carter
Last 5: O'Reilly 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
O'Reilly
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
O'Reilly
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
50.1% (978)
-3.6%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
60.0% (15)
-9.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.4% (138)
+3.6%
On power play, Carter has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Carter is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (734).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Carter
Home
50.6% (480)
49.0% (506)
Away
43.2% (465)
50.3% (632)
By Period
O'Reilly
Carter
P1
47.1%
50.5%
P2
46.7%
48.9%
P3
46.8%
50.0%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |