Scouting Report
Ryan Carter holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.1% vs Carter 50.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 75.9%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 57.5%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 58.9%
Result
Cal O'Reilly favored at 65.5%
65.5%
34.5%
O'Reilly
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
O'Reilly
Carter
Last 5: O'Reilly 1-4 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
2
O'Reilly
Carter
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
0
1
O'Reilly
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Carter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (403)
50.7% (404)
-4.5%
Power Play
48.1% (79)
57.1% (7)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
50.0% (62)
+0.0%
On power play, Carter has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. O'Reilly is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
O'Reilly shoots left. Carter is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (310).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Carter
Home
48.1% (243)
48.2% (220)
Away
44.9% (254)
52.7% (258)
By Period
O'Reilly
Carter
P1
43.2%
53.2%
P2
45.6%
50.3%
P3
50.9%
48.7%
OT
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
46.5%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Ryan Carter |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 03:37 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |