Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. O'Reilly wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 52.2% vs Monahan 51.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 58.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
O'Reilly
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
O'Reilly
Monahan
Last 6: O'Reilly 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
O'Reilly
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
O'Reilly
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (98)
52.1% (1,301)
+1.0%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
50.3% (342)
+13.3%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (65).
O'Reilly shoots left. Monahan is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,110).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Monahan
Home
56.0% (84)
52.7% (875)
Away
48.0% (25)
49.3% (864)
By Period
O'Reilly
Monahan
P1
47.4%
51.0%
P2
60.6%
51.8%
P3
55.3%
50.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
54.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 10:58 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 3 | 06:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 16:12 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 10:27 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |