Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Plekanec on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 47.3% vs Plekanec 50.1% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Plekanec leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 67.2%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 70.6%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 50.2%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Last 10: O'Reilly 7-3 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
2
O'Reilly
Plekanec
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
2
6
O'Reilly
Plekanec
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
4
2
O'Reilly
Plekanec
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (800)
50.8% (8,558)
-4.3%
Power Play
50.4% (129)
51.3% (1,151)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
46.0% (1,924)
+4.0%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. O'Reilly is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
O'Reilly shoots left. Plekanec is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,049).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Home
50.6% (480)
51.1% (5,909)
Away
43.2% (465)
49.1% (5,818)
By Period
O'Reilly
Plekanec
P1
47.1%
52.5%
P2
46.7%
48.9%
P3
46.8%
49.0%
OT
54.5%
51.1%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 18:17 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 1 | 13:14 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 11:33 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 13:23 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 1 | 07:21 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 1 | 04:39 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 18, 2010 | 1 | 00:24 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |