Scouting Report
Tomas Plekanec holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). O'Reilly wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 46.2% vs Plekanec 49.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 65.0%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 74.1%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 54.0%
Result
Tomas Plekanec favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Last 8: O'Reilly 4-4 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
0
1
O'Reilly
Plekanec
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Plekanec
1
2
O'Reilly
Plekanec
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
3
1
O'Reilly
Plekanec
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (238)
49.8% (1,095)
-5.3%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
49.4% (174)
-1.1%
On even strength, Plekanec has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. O'Reilly is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (179).
O'Reilly shoots left. Plekanec is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,041).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Plekanec
Home
50.9% (112)
49.4% (789)
Away
40.4% (156)
48.8% (889)
By Period
O'Reilly
Plekanec
P1
56.5%
51.9%
P2
40.4%
48.8%
P3
36.3%
47.8%
OT
75.0%
39.6%
Final 5 min
35.2%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
44.8%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:49 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 01:42 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 19:30 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 19:28 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 13:05 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Nov 10, 2011 | 2 | 09:03 | Neutral | Tomas Plekanec |