Scouting Report
Cal O'Reilly holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nylander on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
O'Reilly 52.2% vs Nylander 49.4% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nylander 63.2%
Defensive zone
Nylander 54.1%
Neutral zone
Nylander 63.0%
Result
William Nylander favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
O'Reilly
Nylander
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
O'Reilly
Nylander
Last 9: O'Reilly 3-6 Nylander
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nylander
0
2
O'Reilly
Nylander
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
O'Reilly
Nylander
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nylander
1
2
O'Reilly
Nylander
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
O'Reilly
Nylander
Edge
Even Strength
53.1% (98)
49.6% (260)
+3.5%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
45.2% (31)
+18.4%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nylander shoots right. O'Reilly is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (44).
O'Reilly shoots left. Nylander is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
O'Reilly
Nylander
Home
56.0% (84)
48.2% (193)
Away
48.0% (25)
51.0% (98)
By Period
O'Reilly
Nylander
P1
47.4%
54.3%
P2
60.6%
46.0%
P3
55.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.4%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
O'Reilly
52.0%▲
50.5%
54.1%
Nylander
34.0%▼
44.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 06:14 | Neutral | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 19:43 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 06:46 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 03:27 | Defensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 11:11 | Neutral | William Nylander |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 3 | 00:39 | Defensive | Cal O'Reilly |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 2 | 04:17 | Offensive | William Nylander |
| Mar 7, 2016 | 1 | 04:04 | Offensive | William Nylander |