Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.5% vs Caggiula 43.5% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 70.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 89.1%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 87.3%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 83.7%
83.7%
16.3%
Jarnkrok
Caggiula
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Jarnkrok
Caggiula
Last 8: Jarnkrok 6-2 Caggiula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Caggiula
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Caggiula
1
2
Jarnkrok
Caggiula
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
0
Jarnkrok
Caggiula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Caggiula
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (742)
40.6% (276)
+10.1%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
66.7% (6)
-4.6%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (144)
50.0% (2)
-9.7%
On even strength, Jarnkrok has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Caggiula shoots left. Jarnkrok is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Caggiula is 41.1% vs right-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Caggiula
Home
52.4% (489)
46.9% (145)
Away
46.0% (426)
35.3% (139)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Caggiula
P1
51.9%
41.1%
P2
50.3%
40.2%
P3
46.4%
43.0%
OT
37.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.4%
Caggiula
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2017 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 12:59 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:26 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 2, 2017 | 1 | 12:27 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 3 | 06:55 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 20, 2017 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Drake Caggiula |