Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McKegg on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs McKegg 49.5% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 50.4%
Defensive zone
McKegg 51.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 57.4%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Jarnkrok
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Jarnkrok
McKegg
Last 8: Jarnkrok 4-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McKegg
1
3
Jarnkrok
McKegg
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
1
Jarnkrok
McKegg
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (398)
48.1% (189)
+4.7%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
25.0% (4)
+41.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
57.5% (40)
-13.5%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Jarnkrok is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (357).
Jarnkrok shoots right. McKegg is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
McKegg
Home
52.7% (241)
52.9% (102)
Away
50.0% (278)
46.6% (131)
By Period
Jarnkrok
McKegg
P1
49.4%
48.5%
P2
51.7%
49.4%
P3
51.9%
50.9%
Final 5 min
45.5%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
51.3%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 02:01 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 19:21 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 06:50 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 3 | 03:22 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 01:06 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |