Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.3% vs Benn 47.8% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 66.7%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 68.6%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 62.8%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Jarnkrok
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jarnkrok
Benn
Last 6: Jarnkrok 2-4 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
1
3
Jarnkrok
Benn
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Benn
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (560)
49.1% (316)
-0.2%
Power Play
52.5% (61)
44.2% (147)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.7% (178)
40.0% (15)
-6.3%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Benn is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (236).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Benn
Home
49.5% (396)
50.0% (232)
Away
42.2% (403)
44.7% (246)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Benn
P1
41.6%
43.9%
P2
42.8%
45.6%
P3
52.5%
51.6%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.8%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 12:20 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 15, 2016 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 31, 2015 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |