Scouting Report
Joe Colborne holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Colborne on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Colborne shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs Colborne 51.8% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 51.9%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 52.0%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 53.5%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 52.6%
52.6%
47.4%
Jarnkrok
Colborne
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Jarnkrok
Colborne
Last 7: Jarnkrok 3-4 Colborne
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Colborne
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Colborne
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Colborne
1
2
Jarnkrok
Colborne
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Colborne
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
52.1% (284)
-5.0%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
53.8% (39)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
53.8% (13)
-35.6%
On penalty kill, Colborne has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colborne shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Colborne is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Colborne
Home
44.5% (362)
60.7% (163)
Away
48.4% (279)
44.5% (173)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Colborne
P1
48.5%
59.3%
P2
45.9%
47.0%
P3
44.7%
52.4%
OT
16.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.2%
Colborne
34.0%▼
44.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 11:13 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 10:01 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 08:12 | Neutral | Joe Colborne |
| Oct 14, 2014 | 1 | 01:17 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |