Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs Mitchell 50.8% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 74.3%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 74.4%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 74.0%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
Jarnkrok
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Jarnkrok
Mitchell
Last 10: Jarnkrok 2-8 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Mitchell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
2
Jarnkrok
Mitchell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mitchell
2
5
Jarnkrok
Mitchell
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
51.2% (666)
-4.1%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
45.5% (22)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
48.9% (47)
-30.7%
On penalty kill, Mitchell has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Mitchell is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Mitchell
Home
44.5% (362)
51.7% (360)
Away
48.4% (279)
50.1% (375)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Mitchell
P1
48.5%
50.2%
P2
45.9%
49.4%
P3
44.7%
51.9%
OT
16.7%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.2%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 18:50 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 3 | 19:56 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 06:15 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 2 | 00:50 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 30, 2015 | 1 | 01:32 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 16:30 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 08:47 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |