Scouting Report
Matt Hendricks holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hendricks on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hendricks shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.3% vs Hendricks 54.4% (-9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 81.1%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 83.0%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 79.0%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Jarnkrok
Hendricks
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Jarnkrok
Hendricks
Last 5: Jarnkrok 0-5 Hendricks
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
3
Jarnkrok
Hendricks
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hendricks
0
2
Jarnkrok
Hendricks
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Hendricks
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (560)
59.6% (329)
-10.7%
Power Play
52.5% (61)
46.7% (15)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
33.7% (178)
44.0% (109)
-10.3%
On even strength, Hendricks has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hendricks shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Hendricks is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Hendricks
Home
49.5% (396)
52.4% (233)
Away
42.2% (403)
58.6% (220)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Hendricks
P1
41.6%
55.1%
P2
42.8%
55.2%
P3
52.5%
55.6%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
54.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.8%
Hendricks
60.0%▲
50.5%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 16:19 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:31 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Matt Hendricks |