Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Stajan 49.4% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Jarnkrok leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 60.2%
Defensive zone
Stajan 73.0%
Neutral zone
Stajan 51.0%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Jarnkrok
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Jarnkrok
Stajan
Last 10: Jarnkrok 6-4 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
6
2
Jarnkrok
Stajan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Jarnkrok
Stajan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stajan
2
3
Jarnkrok
Stajan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,352)
50.2% (4,944)
-0.9%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
43.2% (176)
+8.7%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (625)
46.1% (864)
-5.9%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,965).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Stajan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,026).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Stajan
Home
50.6% (2,253)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
45.3% (1,982)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Stajan
P1
47.8%
50.3%
P2
48.0%
48.5%
P3
48.8%
49.4%
OT
40.5%
53.3%
Final 5 min
48.8%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 03:24 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 07:57 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 05:28 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 01:06 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 04:44 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 21, 2017 | 2 | 05:31 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 02:43 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 17:42 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Mar 21, 2014 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |