Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.3% vs Stajan 47.6% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 58.7%
Defensive zone
Stajan 79.5%
Neutral zone
Stajan 50.2%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Jarnkrok
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Jarnkrok
Stajan
Last 5: Jarnkrok 4-1 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
4
0
Jarnkrok
Stajan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
0
1
Jarnkrok
Stajan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (560)
47.8% (678)
+1.1%
Power Play
52.5% (61)
33.3% (9)
+19.2%
Penalty Kill
33.7% (178)
45.5% (101)
-11.8%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +19.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Stajan is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Stajan
Home
49.5% (396)
49.0% (392)
Away
42.2% (403)
45.7% (396)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Stajan
P1
41.6%
47.9%
P2
42.8%
49.8%
P3
52.5%
43.4%
OT
42.9%
100.0%
Final 5 min
38.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.8%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 11:19 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 10:06 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 03:16 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 06:44 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:29 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |