Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Talbot 47.0% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 52.2%
Defensive zone
Talbot 72.6%
Neutral zone
Talbot 57.9%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Jarnkrok
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jarnkrok
Talbot
Last 6: Jarnkrok 2-4 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
1
2
Jarnkrok
Talbot
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Talbot
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
1
Jarnkrok
Talbot
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,354)
48.3% (1,738)
+1.0%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
49.0% (51)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (640)
42.3% (631)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. Jarnkrok is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,982).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Talbot is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (895).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Talbot
Home
50.6% (2,261)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
45.3% (1,991)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Talbot
P1
47.7%
48.7%
P2
48.0%
43.5%
P3
48.8%
48.6%
OT
40.5%
45.0%
Final 5 min
48.7%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 02:30 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 9, 2014 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Max Talbot |