Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs Chaput 49.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 62.2%
Defensive zone
Chaput 62.2%
Neutral zone
Chaput 59.8%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Jarnkrok
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jarnkrok
Chaput
Last 5: Jarnkrok 3-2 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Chaput
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
1
Jarnkrok
Chaput
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
0
1
Jarnkrok
Chaput
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
48.4% (273)
-1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
50.0% (2)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
52.6% (19)
-34.4%
On penalty kill, Chaput has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Chaput is 41.7% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Chaput
Home
44.5% (362)
47.0% (132)
Away
48.4% (279)
50.0% (162)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Chaput
P1
48.5%
41.8%
P2
45.9%
54.4%
P3
44.7%
47.5%
Final 5 min
50.8%
61.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.2%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 03:01 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 02:25 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |