Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.5% vs Chaput 52.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 64.5%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 50.3%
Neutral zone
Chaput 53.1%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Jarnkrok
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Jarnkrok
Chaput
Last 5: Jarnkrok 3-2 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Chaput
0
2
Jarnkrok
Chaput
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
0
Jarnkrok
Chaput
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (742)
52.7% (374)
-2.0%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
62.5% (8)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (144)
33.3% (3)
+7.0%
On penalty kill, Jarnkrok has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Jarnkrok is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (662).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Chaput is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (124).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Chaput
Home
52.4% (489)
58.4% (178)
Away
46.0% (426)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Chaput
P1
51.9%
52.3%
P2
50.3%
49.6%
P3
46.4%
56.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.4%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:35 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 1 | 02:40 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |