Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.3% vs 50.8%). Look for Zibanejad on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 51.1% vs Zibanejad 50.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 62.9%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 65.3%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 54.8%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 55.0%
45.0%
55.0%
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
Last 8: Jarnkrok 5-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
3
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
1
0
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (398)
52.7% (938)
+0.1%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
49.3% (225)
+17.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (109)
39.5% (124)
+4.5%
On power play, Jarnkrok has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Jarnkrok is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Zibanejad is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
Home
52.7% (241)
54.9% (594)
Away
50.0% (278)
47.3% (693)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Zibanejad
P1
49.4%
50.1%
P2
51.7%
49.0%
P3
51.9%
53.0%
OT
75.0%
52.2%
Final 5 min
45.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
51.3%
Zibanejad
46.0%▼
54.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 09:02 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:26 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 17:24 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 18:02 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 08:51 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |