Scouting Report
Ryan Getzlaf holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Jarnkrok wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 50.1% vs Getzlaf 53.9% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 64.7%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 53.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 57.4%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Jarnkrok
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jarnkrok
Getzlaf
Last 5: Jarnkrok 2-3 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Getzlaf
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Jarnkrok
Getzlaf
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Jarnkrok
Getzlaf
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (301)
54.3% (879)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
62.8% (78)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
43.9% (57)
-0.1%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Jarnkrok is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (102).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Getzlaf is 57.0% vs right-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Getzlaf
Home
53.8% (210)
56.6% (535)
Away
43.8% (121)
51.8% (479)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Getzlaf
P1
48.7%
55.6%
P2
54.0%
55.7%
P3
47.6%
51.5%
Final 5 min
44.3%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.2%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:32 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 3 | 08:49 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 25, 2018 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |