Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 10 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 45.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 48.1% vs Bozak 53.4% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Bozak leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 52.5%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 54.9%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 60.1%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 53.9%
53.9%
46.1%
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
10
(18 meetings)
8
10
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Last 10: Jarnkrok 2-8 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
4
6
Jarnkrok
Bozak
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
4
3
Jarnkrok
Bozak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
1
Jarnkrok
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (3,354)
53.7% (9,596)
-4.4%
Power Play
51.9% (258)
55.2% (1,990)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
40.5% (640)
48.0% (1,094)
-7.5%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jarnkrok is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,270).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Bozak is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (4,312).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Home
50.6% (2,261)
56.0% (6,333)
Away
45.3% (1,991)
51.0% (6,396)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Bozak
P1
47.7%
53.2%
P2
48.0%
52.8%
P3
48.8%
54.5%
OT
40.5%
52.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:34 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 2 | 13:48 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 1 | 14:12 | Neutral | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 06:04 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 07:53 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 1 | 16:43 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |