Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarnkrok on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.3% vs Bozak 55.8% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bozak 93.4%
Defensive zone
Bozak 66.4%
Neutral zone
Bozak 69.4%
Result
Tyler Bozak favored at 77.2%
22.8%
77.2%
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Last 5: Jarnkrok 5-0 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
2
0
Jarnkrok
Bozak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
0
Jarnkrok
Bozak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
48.9% (560)
56.4% (837)
-7.5%
Power Play
52.5% (61)
60.8% (186)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
33.7% (178)
33.3% (36)
+0.4%
On power play, Bozak has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jarnkrok is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Bozak is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Home
49.5% (396)
58.7% (516)
Away
42.2% (403)
54.1% (543)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Bozak
P1
41.6%
55.7%
P2
42.8%
53.4%
P3
52.5%
59.7%
OT
42.9%
63.2%
Final 5 min
38.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
45.8%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2015 | 3 | 14:59 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 07:27 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 12, 2015 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Calle Jarnkrok |