Scouting Report
Tyler Bozak holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bozak on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 44.3% vs right-shot opponents — Bozak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 49.5% vs Bozak 56.2% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 65.0%
Defensive zone
Jarnkrok 82.1%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 72.8%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 71.8%
71.8%
28.2%
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Last 5: Jarnkrok 0-5 Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
3
Jarnkrok
Bozak
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bozak
0
2
Jarnkrok
Bozak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (742)
56.5% (1,119)
-5.8%
Power Play
62.1% (29)
58.4% (226)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
40.3% (144)
50.0% (20)
-9.7%
On penalty kill, Bozak has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Jarnkrok is 44.3% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Bozak is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (456).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Bozak
Home
52.4% (489)
60.1% (682)
Away
46.0% (426)
53.2% (684)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Bozak
P1
51.9%
57.7%
P2
50.3%
53.7%
P3
46.4%
59.0%
OT
37.5%
55.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.4%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 18:29 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 1 | 03:25 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Tyler Bozak |